Delphi method. Organization of problem solving by a team of experts

Having appeared in 1950-60, the Delphi method has become a convenient tool for making forecasts in the field of scientific developments and their influence on the strategic principles used in waging war. Often it is called the Delphic method. In the process of its development, RAND specialists took an active part, and Norman Dalkey, Olaf Helmer and Nicholas Rescher are considered to be direct authors. When choosing a name, it was decided to use the name of the Delphic Oracle.

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The number of stages reaches three, but if necessary, there may be more. After that, they proceed to the final analytical moment. During it, the consistency of the opinions of experts is checked, an analysis of the findings and the development of final recommendations are made.




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